Antifragile

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

出版社

Random House

出版时间

2012-11-27

ISBN

9781400067824

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder. In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and in Antifragile he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish. Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The book spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear. Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to behave—and thrive—in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.
AI导读
核心看点
  • 提出反脆弱概念,主张从混乱中获益
  • 区分脆弱、强韧与反脆弱的本质差异
  • 强调压力源与波动性对成长的必要性
适合谁读
  • 对不确定性管理与风险思维感兴趣的读者
  • 希望提升个人及组织抗风险能力的管理者
  • 喜欢塔勒布系列作品及哲学思考的读者
读前提醒
  • 作者文风跳跃且爱说教,需耐心阅读
  • 内容抽象且重复较多,适合跳读核心观点
  • 建议结合生活实例理解反脆弱的具体应用
读者共识
  • 观点极具启发性,能颠覆传统思维定式
  • 行文啰嗦且充满炫耀,阅读体验两极分化
  • 虽难完全实操,但提供了重要的观察视角

本导读基于书籍简介、目录、原文摘录、短评和书评生成,不等同于全文精读。

精彩摘录
  • "1. 金钱和交易净化了关系;而“认可”和“信任”等概念和抽象思维则围绕着学者们,导致形成了一种没完没了的竞争氛围。 2. 强韧化的道路常始于一点点的伤害。 3. 系统可能需要一些压力和刺激,人们可能会在某一领域中体会到这一观点,但在其他领域却全然忽略了。所以我们可以看到我们思维的领域依赖性,所谓领域就是某一类别的活动。有些人可以在某一领域,比如医疗领域,很好地理解某一想法,但在另一领域,比如社会、经济、生活领域,却未必能理解同一个想法。 4. 这种无法跨领域理解的情况是人类固有的缺陷,只有当我们努力克服和突破这一障碍时我们才能开始获得智慧和理性。 5. 在某种程度上,我们都有类似的障碍,当同一"
  • "The very idea of being an Einstein in physics is no longer original. There are secrets to our world that only practice can reveal, and no opinion or analysis will ever capture in full. This secret property is, of course, revealed through time, and, thankfully, only through time."
  • "To this day I still have the instinct that the treasure , what one needs to know for a profession, is necessarily what lies outside the corpus, as far away from the center as possible. But there is something central in following one’s own direction in the selection of readings: what I was given to s"
  • "我对失败者的特征描述就是,失败者往往在犯错后不内省、不探究,觉得难堪,听不得批评,试图解释自己的错误而不是用新的信息丰富自己,并开始新的历程。这些人往往视自己为“受害者”,受制于某个大阴谋、糟糕的老板或恶劣的天气。"
  • "The glass is dead; living things are long volatility. The best way to verify that you are alive is by checking if you like variations. Remember that food would not have a taste if it weren't for hunger; results are meaningless without effort, joy without sadness, convictions without uncertainty, and"
  • "如果大自然中有什么事情你不理解,那么它在超乎你理解能力的更深层面上一定是合理的。"
  • "反脆弱性的产生是有条件的。压力源的刺激频率非常重要:人类在急性刺激下会比在慢性刺激下表现得更出色,尤其是在急性刺激后给予较长的恢复期,这将使得这些压力源成为信息的传导渠道。 比如,看到一条蛇从我的键盘中爬出来,或者一个吸血鬼进入我的房间,都会对我产生强烈的情绪冲击,随后,我当然需要足够长的舒缓期(伴着甘菊茶和巴洛克式的音乐),来重新控制自己的情绪,这会对我的健康有利,当然,前提是我经历了一番艰苦的甚至英雄式的激战后,战胜了蛇或吸血鬼,还能在我亲手击毙的袭击者身边拍一张照片留念。 这样的压力源肯定比一个温和但连续不断的压力源有益,后者大多是让你在生活中感到压抑的东西,包括按揭贷款、税务问题、因拖"
  • "Further, you will never get to know yourself -- your real preferences -- unless you face options and choices."
作者简介
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
用户评论
非常牛逼,我预感「反脆弱」这个词会在明年掀起新的潮流。
有点啰嗦
新神谕。三观再次被刷新。
写的很好,非常全面。上升到各种哲学高度。有个小limit是:如果你一直强调的是gamma,那对应的theta也需要考虑。从长期看我们都会死。
观点非常新颖,故事也很棒,但是taleb真是一如既往的爱说教啊,听多了有点烦
there is indeed a good point that some "setback" are good -- basically whatever does not kill you makes you (person, organization, society, certain strength, etc, all aspects) stronger, but it is really too repetitive throughout the whole book (just like his other books), would have been much better if it were shortened to 1/4...
我们会用自己的情感偏好塑造一个相对安全,却也受限的主观世界,并在这个世界里选择、创造、接受、敌对、相爱、失去。对有些人来说,冲击是令人不安的,无常的波动令其屈服,持久沉寂。(但缄默也是非常有力的)对有些人来说,冲击是幸运的,边界被拓展,拥有更大空间,(但不一定是自由)。
中文版太灾难了,读到一半拿来原版感觉是:“翻译是要故作什么高深啊??(小s脸)”。至于内容,老白男的bragging吧,有几处写的还蛮精彩的,比如讽刺教育体制hhhh~说实话跟这种人聊天吹水会很有趣XD当作人生导师就不必了,认真看会想拍死他
角度有趣,可惜写得结构散乱且无趣。等另一本阐述类似观点的书。
What does not kill you make you stronger.
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