Moneyball

Michael Lewis

出版时间

2004-03-16

ISBN

9780393324815

评分

★★★★★

标签

投资

书籍介绍

Billy Beane, general manager of MLB's Oakland A's and protagonist of Michael Lewis's Moneyball, had a problem: how to win in the Major Leagues with a budget that's smaller than that of nearly every other team. Conventional wisdom long held that big name, highly athletic hitters and young pitchers with rocket arms were the ticket to success. But Beane and his staff, buoyed by massive amounts of carefully interpreted statistical data, believed that wins could be had by more affordable methods such as hitters with high on-base percentage and pitchers who get lots of ground outs. Given this information and a tight budget, Beane defied tradition and his own scouting department to build winning teams of young affordable players and inexpensive castoff veterans.

Lewis was in the room with the A's top management as they spent the summer of 2002 adding and subtracting players and he provides outstanding play-by-play. In the June player draft, Beane acquired nearly every prospect he coveted (few of whom were coveted by other teams) and at the July trading deadline he engaged in a tense battle of nerves to acquire a lefty reliever. Besides being one of the most insider accounts ever written about baseball, Moneyball is populated with fascinating characters. We meet Jeremy Brown, an overweight college catcher who most teams project to be a 15th round draft pick (Beane takes him in the first). Sidearm pitcher Chad Bradford is plucked from the White Sox triple-A club to be a key set-up man and catcher Scott Hatteberg is rebuilt as a first baseman. But the most interesting character is Beane himself. A speedy athletic can't-miss prospect who somehow missed, Beane reinvents himself as a front-office guru, relying on players completely unlike, say, Billy Beane. Lewis, one of the top nonfiction writers of his era (Liar's Poker, The New New Thing), offers highly accessible explanations of baseball stats and his roadmap of Beane's economic approach makes Moneyball an appealing reading experience for business people and sports fans alike.

AI导读
核心看点
  • 奥克兰运动家队如何用数据颠覆传统棒球建队模式
  • 揭示体育竞技中非理性市场带来的套利机会
  • 讲述比利·比恩在预算劣势下挑战行业共识的故事
适合谁读
  • 对商业创新、数据驱动决策感兴趣的读者
  • 体育迷,尤其是关注竞技策略与管理的爱好者
  • 希望理解市场无效性与逆向思维价值的投资者
读前提醒
  • 无需精通棒球规则,重点理解其背后的经济逻辑
  • 书中大量数据案例,建议关注思维转变而非细节
  • 可结合电影《点球成金》对比阅读,体验更佳
读者共识
  • 故事叙述精彩,比改编电影更具深度与真实感
  • 核心在于打破常规,利用被低估的价值取胜
  • 虽具启发性,但实际执行难度与运气成分不可忽视

本导读基于书籍简介、目录、原文摘录、短评和书评生成,不等同于全文精读。

精彩摘录
  • "如果有人做出了某种你无法理解的举动,而你只是因为这种举动没有先例就对他大加嘲讽,这不仅仅是无知短视的表现,更会让你蒙受意想不到的损失。想象力匮乏的结果,便是市场的无效率。"
  • "他找不到也不会找到第二个杰森吉昂比,但她可以把杰森吉昂比拆分成不同的能力组合,然后挑出最不可或缺的能力,用很少一笔钱买下这个能力"
  • "用奥克兰运动家队小联盟扶着人基斯·李普曼的话说,其他新秀球员,都得经历“现实”的磨砺。李普曼说,现实“就是你意识到,如果你要在球队中生存下去,你就必须调整自己打球的方式”。但是杰瑞米·布朗不必调整自己,需要调整的是除了他之外的整个世界。整个世界也的确为他进行了调整。"
  • "“查得”,穆斯的口气更像牧师而不是教练,“你有多想打职业棒球?” “职业棒球是我唯一的梦想。”"
  • "八年前,他的牧师兼教练给了他一本“秘籍”,让他在高中棒球队里有了一席之地。八年后,他终于可以在大联盟球队里使出自己的必杀技了。"
  • "1999年春季集训时,白袜队总经理,前大联盟投手容·舒勒告诉查德,他的投球已经很不如以前那么富有变化,所以,球队要把他送回三A联盟。查德并没有胆量说出他心里真正的想法:我的球没变化?我的投球,唯一的特点就是变化。"
  • "有一支大联盟球队的总经理认真读过他的每一本书,读懂了他书中的精髓,并遵循它的精神,继续寻找棒球新知,让那些只懂得皮毛的人一败涂地 不要人云亦云,得自己开动脑筋,理性分析,辩证思考,不要接受即成答案,要永远存疑"
  • "我也倾向于认同这一理论:最有钱的通常是胜者。但是,看看近几年的赛事,你难免会心生疑惑。德州游骑兵、巴尔的摩金莺、洛杉矶道奇,以及纽约大都会,每一支球队都是各自分赛区的垫底球队,这些球队都投入了大笔金钱,却一败涂地。"
作者简介
Michael Lewis is the author of the bestsellers Liar's Poker and The New New Thing. He lives in Berkeley, California, with his wife, Tabitha Soren, and their two daughters.
目录
Preface
Chapter 1. The Curse of Talent
Chapter 2. How to Find a Ballplayer
Chapter 3. The Enlightenment
Chapter 4. Field of Ignorance

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用户评论
Michael Lewis在书中加了很多戏剧的成分来吸引人,不然怎么畅销和拍电影呢。但基本上主题思想就是Billy Beane怎么用数据分析的方法,用其他队都看不上的小联赛球员和过气明星来赢得比赛,一副烂牌打出同花顺的效果就是他了。不过Billy在做的其实是一个好的CEO要做到事情——当你手头资源有限,就集中使用在最关键的能力上,什么长相啊身材啊名校学历啊都没有卵用。It's a competitive business, just like the IT industry. 书本身为了戏剧性无效信息有点多,当电子书听正合适。
比电影好看太多!
Search for undervalued ball players the same way undervalued stocks are sought; statistics is the tool;it is fun to see the underdog win.
趣味横生,虽然还是大空头比较直白。即使是基于主观和经验的策略有了冷静的统计也会变得更加可靠。
本书描写的奥克兰A队总经理比利·比恩(Billy Beane)不只是一个点子多多的精明棒球队老板。他还是逆向投资的表率,知道如何采取与众不同的做法取得成果,这当然也是精明投资者赚钱的方法  這是一本將社會科學理論應用於實際棒球場上的一本書,就我個人觀點,他像是一本厚厚的論文,一本經由質化研究進而實證的一本書。
@2012-01-27 16:06:38
终于“书非借不能读”了,明天要被收走了今天赶紧听完最后一章。Scott Brick读得很好,但是这书其实不适合我听,因为不熟悉棒球术语,经常躺着听了十分钟,一直围绕着一个棒球概念,然后实在听不懂了才爬起来查什么意思。虽然这样说了,其实不需要特别懂棒球的那些metrics也能被这个书打动到。首先我最爱看个underdog(失败者,弱者,后来居上者)的故事,尤其是放在体育背景下,Oakland A没钱没资源的棒球队就是典型的underdog。Billy Beane的故事更是有意思,失败的职业棒球手生涯反而深深的影响了他对整个棒球产业的看法,一方面让他总有要证明自己的包袱,另一方面也让他能深刻思考和质疑这个产业的缺陷。作者写的很多细节特别生动,billy beane也是个矛盾的结合体。(写不下了)
作者居然把这么无聊的一项运动写的还挺有意思
很多棒球术语没看懂,但不影响我衷心认同用数学解决体育竞技问题。Yale president Richard Levin, Fed chairman Paul Volcker, Senator George Mitchell, columnist George Will 四人组成的 The Blue Ribbon Panel 没研究清楚球队经费对赛制的扭曲,Billy Bean神奇地给出了完美答案。
前半部分术语有点多,后半部分渐入佳境,trading desk一章个人最佳,afterwords不忘嘲讽一下club的老顽固
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