The Big Short

Michael Lewis

出版时间

2010-03-15

ISBN

9780393072235

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍
The #1 New York Times bestseller: a brilliant account—character-rich and darkly humorous—of how the U.S. economy was driven over the cliff. When the crash of the U. S. stock market became public knowledge in the fall of 2008, it was already old news. The real crash, the silent crash, had taken place over the previous year, in bizarre feeder markets where the sun doesn’t shine, and the SEC doesn’t dare, or bother, to tread: the bond and real estate derivative markets where geeks invent impenetrable securities to profit from the misery of lower- and middle-class Americans who can’t pay their debts. The smart people who understood what was or might be happening were paralyzed by hope and fear; in any case, they weren’t talking. The crucial question is this: Who understood the risk inherent in the assumption of ever-rising real estate prices, a risk compounded daily by the creation of those arcane, artificial securities loosely based on piles of doubtful mortgages? Michael Lewis turns the inquiry on its head to create a fresh, character-driven narrative brimming with indignation and dark humor, a fitting sequel to his #1 best-selling Liar’s Poker . Who got it right? he asks. Who saw the real estate market for the black hole it would become, and eventually made billions of dollars from that perception? And what qualities of character made those few persist when their peers and colleagues dismissed them as Chicken Littles? Out of this handful of unlikely—really unlikely—heroes, Lewis fashions a story as compelling and unusual as any of his earlier bestsellers, proving yet again that he is the finest and funniest chronicler of our times.
AI导读
核心看点
  • 以幽默笔触复盘2008次贷危机
  • 揭示金融创新如何异化为剥削工具
  • 刻画少数清醒者对抗体制的孤独
适合谁读
  • 对金融危机历史感兴趣的读者
  • 希望通俗理解复杂金融衍生品的
  • 喜欢迈克尔·刘易斯叙事风格的
读前提醒
  • 无需深厚金融背景即可读懂
  • 建议结合电影版对照阅读体验
  • 注意区分作者观点与书中人物
读者共识
  • 文笔生动幽默,寓教于乐体验佳
  • 深刻揭露华尔街贪婪与系统性荒谬
  • 结局令人唏嘘,反思金融伦理困境

本导读基于书籍简介、目录、原文摘录、短评和书评生成,不等同于全文精读。

精彩摘录
  • "p7 抵押贷款债券不是单一有明确固定条款的巨额贷款。押债券是一种对来自数千个单独的住房抵贷款组成的池子里的现金流追索权。 他们利用巨大的住房贷款池,将住房所有人的还款分割成几块,称之为“部分”。第一个部分的买家面临着抵押贷款提前还款的第一波冲击。 p26 早在2004年年初,只要观察一下数据,你就能清楚看到贷款标准的下降。按照巴里的观点,标准不止下降,而且已经触底。这个“底”甚至还有个名称:只付利息的副摊销可调利率次级抵押贷款。作为住房的购买者,你实际上获得了根本不用还款,而且可以将你欠银行的全部利息转变成更大的本金余额的权利。 p28 信用违期掉约产品不太容易理解,因为它根本就不是真正的掉约"
  • "金融危机的原因非常简单——双方都贪婪,投资人的贪婪和银行家的贪婪。在华尔街贪婪是应该的——几乎可以算是一种义务。 赌博和投资之间的那条线是人为的,而且非常细。最稳健的投资也有着一定的赌博性质,而最胆大妄为的投机也具有明显的投资特点。或许“投资”的最好定义是“赔率对你有利的赌博”。"
  • "One of the things he’d learned about Asperger’s, since he’d discovered that he had it, was the role that his interests served. They were a safe place to which he could retreat from a hostile world. That was why people with Asperger’s experienced them so intensely. That was also, oddly, why they coul"
  • "整个经济体运行的前提条件是它的稳定性,而它的稳定性反过来又取决于住房价格的特续上准,“资产泡沫只有在破灭以后才能被认识到的想法是荒谬的。”他写道,“在泡沫开始膨胀的时期,其实存在很多可以识别它的具体指标。狂热的一个特征就是欺诈发生率和复杂性的快速上升。"
  • "作为一种规则,任何转为首字母缩略或者缩略词的贷款,都可以被称为“次级贷款”,但是债券市场不想让它透明。“次优级”是语言战胜真理的一次伟大胜利。"
  • "这就是赌场列出最近几轮结果的原因:诱引赌客哄骗自己,给他们一种会把筹码推到桌上所需要的虚假的信心。次级抵押贷款市场上的中介机构也是用同样的花招欺骗自己的,它们利用毫无统计意义的过去预测未来。"
  • "现实中存在着一个奇怪但却千真万确的现象:你越接近市场,你越难发现他的愚蠢。"
  • "人们说谁投资做得好,其实就是说他对风险赋予了正确的补偿价格。"
用户评论
#the big short# #大空头# 电影看了三遍,依旧看不够,于是开始读原著。这本书神就神在即便我对情节了然于胸,对故事结局也不设悬念,但我仍有与书中人物命运同跌宕的超强代入感。每个时代都有极少数有远见、被误解、但坚持到底的人。《圣经》里的诺亚是这类人的原型,只可惜诺亚造船时的心理活动只有寥寥数笔。而这本书,通过对Dr. Michael Burry细致入微的描写,填补了这一空白。《大空头》给了盲从的大众一个反思的机会,也给了清醒的极少数一个坚持到底的理由。
informative and easy reading, michael lewis is definitely a very stylish and humorous writer >> http://vdisk.weibo.com/s/z9F3R63SnOi3B
1 事情会朝阻力最小的方向发展,庞氏骗局仍是最好用的骗局 2 看得清真相的人真的不多,能玩转金融的人更少,不论金融业怎样扩容 3 傻子远远多于骗子 4 偏见是绝好的庇护 5 机会在各种金融创新里
中级投资教科书
Hard to do a better job on this otherwise boringly dry and artificially distorted topic.
文笔诙谐
还是电影更精彩一些(mark第一次听audiobook,听书比读书快多了)
catastrophe的发生来自wall street firm不做人&rating agencies的为虎作伥。关于几位主角心理状态的描述更值得称道——即使预言了灾难发生,并提早上了船还大赚一笔,Noah享受到的也不一定是胜利的喜悦。//比电影好看
Michael Lewis真的又会取材又会写人物。电影很多情节台词基本都用了原书,除了写得好,大概也是因为历史已经足够戏剧化。万万没想到Eisman和Alan Greenspan同场的活动竟然真是在bear sterns collapse当天。
Oooooooof. I felt so smart after reading this lol
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