书籍介绍
这本书最耐人寻味的地方，不在它如何解释2008年危机，而在于它像一面镜子，让读者把拉美、日本、亚洲的衰退逐一对照到中国自己身上。许多读者读后“心惊肉跳”，正因为他们发现：别人二十年前踩过的坑，我们未必能避开；连争议巨大的“四万亿”都被书中逻辑解释为特定环境下的无奈之举。它不追求理论深度，反而以讲故事的清晰，把汇率、房地产泡沫、银行恐慌这些要素串成一个可套用的危机框架。适合两类人：想快速把握宏观经济脉络的门外汉，以及正身处自身经济转型、试图理解“下一站是否就是中国”的读者。
作者简介
保罗•克鲁格曼，2008年独享诺贝尔经济学奖。 现为普林斯顿大学经济学教授，全球化坚定而又机智的捍卫者，继弗里德曼和加尔布雷斯之后最有影响力的公共知识分子；在美国经济一片大好之时，警告大众注意房价泡沫和经济衰退，被英国《金融时报》誉为“口号和辩论”、“数据和模型”的大师。
AI导读
核心看点
- 本书深入剖析2008年金融危机根源，批判新自由主义经济教条。作者指出，市场并非天然稳定，盲目信奉自由市场会导致系统性风险累积。书中强调，政府干预在防止经济崩溃中不可或缺，任何试图通过紧缩政策或维持金本位来应对危机的做法，只会重蹈大萧条覆辙，加剧经济灾难。
- 通过回顾拉美债务危机、日本泡沫破裂及亚洲金融风暴，揭示萧条经济学并未过时。作者论证这些危机并非孤立事件，而是全球金融体系结构性缺陷的体现。书中详细分析汇率制度、资本流动与金融监管漏洞如何相互作用，导致灾难性后果，警示读者警惕类似模式在其他经济体重演。
- 揭露影子银行体系的隐蔽风险及其对金融稳定的威胁。作者批判格林斯潘等决策者对金融创新的盲目乐观，指出缺乏监管的金融衍生品市场是危机导火索。本书强调，必须建立更严格的金融监管框架，防止系统性风险蔓延，并驳斥了‘有效市场假说’在极端情况下的失效，呼吁回归凯恩斯主义宏观政策。
读者共识
- 读者普遍认为本书通俗易懂，是了解宏观经济危机机制的最佳入门读物之一。尽管部分观点存在争议，但其对金融监管缺失和市场非理性的批判得到广泛认同。许多读者表示，书中案例与当前经济形势有相似之处，警示意义强烈。然而，也有读者指出其理论深度有限，不适合专业研究者，且对某些历史事件的评价存在偏颇，需辩证看待。
- 多数读者认可作者对萧条经济学回归的论证，认为其揭示了自由市场神话的破灭。书中对政府干预必要性的强调，符合危机后主流政策转向。然而，部分读者批评其未能提供建设性解决方案，仅停留在批判层面。此外，有读者指出书中对发展中国家经验的忽视，以及对中国等新兴经济体情况的误读，提醒读者在借鉴时需结合本土实际，避免盲目照搬西方理论。
- 读者共识认为，本书有助于打破对市场经济盲目崇拜，提升风险意识。尽管存在争议，但其核心观点即危机不可避免且需政府干预，已被历史证实。读者普遍建议，在理解书中观点的同时，应补充阅读其他学派著作，以获得更全面视角。对于试图寻找‘新东西’的读者可能会失望，但作为危机框架性分析，本书仍具重要参考价值，值得推荐给关注经济安全的公众。
精彩摘录
- "Anyway, the equations and diagrams of formal economics are, more often than not, no more than a scaffolding used to help construct an intellectual edifice. Once that edifice has been built to a certain point, the scaffolding can be stripped away, leaving only plain English behind."
- "For the first time since 1917, then, we live in a world in which property rights and free markets are viewed as fundamental principles, not grudging expedients; where the unpleasant aspects of market system -- inequality, unemployment, injustice -- are accepted as facts of life. As in the Victorian "
- ""With the rise of the modern corporation, the emergence of the organization required by modern technology and planning and divorce of the owner of capital from control of the enterprise, the entrepreneur no longer exists as an individual person in the mature industrial enterprise." ...... The inform"
- "The benefits of export-led economic growth to the mass of people in the newly industrializing economies were not a matter of conjecture......These improvements did not take place because well-meaning people in the West did anything to help -- foreign aid, never large, shrank in the 1990s to virtuall"
- "Over the course of the 1970s a "new class" had become increasingly influential within Mexico's ruling party and government. Well educated, often with graduate degrees from Harvard or MIT, fluent in English and internationalist in outlook, they were Mexican enough to navigate the PRI's boss-and-patro"
- "Dornbusch and others argued that the problem lay in the value of the peso: an excessively strong currency was pricing Mexican goods out of world markets, preventing economy from taking advantage of its growing capacity What Mexico needed, then, was a devaluation -- a onetime reduction in the dollar "
- "What is supposed to happend when a country's currency is devalued is that speculators say, "Okay, that's over," and stop betting on the currency continued decline. That's the way it worked for Britain and Sweden in 1992. The danger is that speculatrors will instead view the first devaluation as a si"
- "......Argentina's curency board system was supposed to make the credibility of its peso invulnerable......But once speculation against the Argentine peso began, it became clear that the currency board did not provide the kind of insulation its creators had hoped for. True, every peso in circulation "
目录
用户评论
看过的讲宏观经济学的书里面最清楚的一本，没有之一。
http://www.univpgri-palembang.ac.id/perpus-fkip/Perpustakaan/Empiricsm/Krugman,%20Paul%20-%20The%20Return%20of%20Depression%20Economics%20and%20the%20Crisis%20of%202008,%202e%20(Norton%3B%202009).pdf
很久都没读过那么好的经济学的书了，可以把结果和原理结合的如此好，又紧贴现实的只有保罗克鲁格曼了。
经济全球化的必然
如果想要在这本书里面发现什么新东西，你肯定会失望的，不过如果要一个关于危机的框架性的东西，还是可以的
还好。
通俗易懂，观点鲜明，哪怕不是都正确
好书
文笔真的好，对宏观经济学的知识储备要求不高
分析了亚洲和拉美的经济危机，事后合理不等于事前可预测。
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