The Dictator's Handbook - Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

The Dictator's Handbook

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

出版社

PublicAffairs

出版时间

2011-09-27

ISBN

9781610390446

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍

In this title, two renowned political scientists make the contrarian, research-based case that - regardless of any other factors political scientists or historians may find relevant - the calculations and actions of rulers are the driving force of all politics, and the primary goal of rulers is to maintain power as long as possible. In this clever and accessible book, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith introduce us to their perspective of the political world. They bare the logic of politics, starting from the simple premise that leaders pursue their own ends, and that populations either have, or more often don't have, the power to constrain them to a significant degree. The book is organized by a series interconnected questions, among them: Why do leaders who wreck their countries keep their jobs for so long? Why do autocracies have dismal economic policies? How are there so many suffering people in resource-rich lands? Why do 'natural disasters' disproportionately strike poor nations? Why do 'evil-doers' so often collect loads of foreign aid? Why are democracies so good at war? In answering these questions, the authors look at politics, the choices of public policies, and even decisions about war and peace as lying outside of conventional thinking about culture and history. They set aside ideas of civic virtue and psychopathology. Such notions simply are not central to understanding what leaders do and why they do it. Instead, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith see politicians as self-interested louts, just the sort of people you wouldn't want to have over for dinner, but without whom you might not have dinner at all. And from this perspective, they are able to answer some perplexing mysteries of politics, shed light on what we read in the newspapers every single day, and offer realistic ways of improving human governance.

About the Author

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics and director of the Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy at New York University. He is the author of 16 books, including The Predictioneer’s Game.Alastair Smith is professor of politics at New York University. The recipient of three grants from the National Science Foundation and auth...

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目录
Introduction
Rules to Rule By
Chapter 1 - The Rules of Politics
Three Political Dimensions
Virtues of 3 - D Politics

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用户评论
重点看了看中文版删节部分,再看的话评价没有那么高了,部分观点值得商榷,不过仍然是值得看的好书。
用一种简单模型(interchangeable, influential, essential)去替代另一种简单模型(民主vs独裁),然后生搬硬套。废话太多,车轱辘话来回说,最后我就只看看每章最后的总结。举了不少例子但分析太浅且牵强。最有趣的是,中国和新加坡的成功被作者称为“例外”,然后干脆就不讨论了!
这本书告诉我,如果我实在无法移民到发达国家,我可以考虑移民到一个不那么发达的民主国家,但是动作要快,因为他们发达的速度都惊人,时不我待。还有这场“反复”运动的主要目的是减少制胜联盟的人数,同时所有的其他政策都在指向更为“独菜”的方向,也就是说,如果成功,将是更加暗无天日的世界,而失败几乎只能期待经济崩溃,也绝对是大多数人的损失。另外,美国不需要一个“闽猪”的瓷器,更符合他们利益的是一个听话的独裁政府。
脑洞太大,有点儿牵强。不过有些部分(比如援助问题)听起来挺有道理的。 分好高啊。
获取控制权并保持住,政治的首要目的。抓住少数关键人物的支持并使得这些支持者处于忠诚,需要高超的手段控制实际结盟者的数目,人数小到随时可以替换,大数到可以完全控制。而名义结盟者,越多越好。政治是少数人的游戏,这个游戏的风险和收益巨大,而博弈的结果并不会一定导向经济效率高的均衡或是居民普惠的政策。政治人物首先迎合的便是结盟者,而居民始终是最后一位,尽管名义上是第一位。善治依赖于大的权力联盟,即长官不能通过赢取少数人的支持保持领导位置。
很出色的科普,以及作者真是个一本正经讲怪话的大师……我会给4吧,多的一星是给这些怪话的
前几章还行,后面夹带私货太严重了。第九章拉了Powell/Weinberger/Albright几个活宝来踩孙武,like…it was just golden…现在再回过头看看怕是脸要肿得妈都不认识了。
醍醐灌顶
用似是而非过于简单的模型理解社会是学者的通病。有可看之处,废话太多基本可以跳着看
这可是严肃的政治学读物
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