The Dao of Capital - Mark Spitznagel

The Dao of Capital

Mark Spitznagel

出版社

Wiley

出版时间

2013-09-03

ISBN

9781118347034

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍
As today's preeminent doomsday investor Mark Spitznagel describes his Daoist and roundabout investment approach, "one gains by losing and loses by gaining." This is Austrian Investing, an archetypal, counterintuitive, and proven approach, gleaned from the 150-year-old Austrian School of economics, that is both timeless and exceedingly timely. In The Dao of Capital, hedge fund manager and tail-hedging pioneer Mark Spitznagel―with one of the top returns on capital of the financial crisis, as well as over a career―takes us on a gripping, circuitous journey from the Chicago trading pits, over the coniferous boreal forests and canonical strategists from Warring States China to Napoleonic Europe to burgeoning industrial America, to the great economic thinkers of late 19th century Austria. We arrive at his central investment methodology of Austrian Investing, where victory comes not from waging the immediate decisive battle, but rather from the roundabout approach of seeking the intermediate positional advantage (what he calls shi), of aiming at the indirect means rather than directly at the ends. The monumental challenge is in seeing time differently, in a whole new intertemporal dimension, one that is so contrary to our wiring. Spitznagel is the first to condense the theories of Ludwig von Mises and his Austrian School of economics into a cohesive and―as Spitznagel has shown―highly effective investment methodology. From identifying the monetary distortions and non-randomness of stock market routs (Spitznagel's bread and butter) to scorned highly-productive assets, in Ron Paul's words from the foreword, Spitznagel "brings Austrian economics from the ivory tower to the investment portfolio." The Dao of Capital provides a rare and accessible look through the lens of one of today's great investors to discover a profound harmony with the market process―a harmony that is so essential today.
精彩摘录
  • "Rather than pursue the direct route of immediate gain, we will seek the difficult and roundabout route of immediate loss, an intermediate step which begets an advantage for greater potential gain. ...It is, in fact, the logic of organic efficacious growth in our world. But when it is hastened or for"
作者简介
Mark Spitznagel is the founder and President of Universa Investments, an investment advisor that specializes in equity tail-hedgingor profiting from extreme stock market losses as a means of enhancing investment returns. In addition to hedge fund investing, Spitznagel's twenty-year investment career has ranged from independent pit trader at the Chicago Board of Trade to proprietary trading head at Morgan Stanley. He also owns and operates Idyll Farms in northern Michigan.
用户评论
前八章明明一句话就能说完
中文版没有的英文版的优势
:无
前面几章絮絮叨叨铺垫了很多,因为有些神叨甚至跳过了几个章节。回想起来也许是东方思想里“欲速则不达”的教诲已经深入人心,不需要作者如此多的笔墨。读完后对奥地利经济学派的思维方式(deduction >> induction)印象深刻,在高频交易如此盛行的今天,难怪会被视为异类。另外,他们对政府调控的深恶痛绝也迥异于马克思。一个对经济危机的贴切的类比是森林火灾-不仅难以避免,而且能让森林重新洗牌,纠正错误,形成自控论里的负反馈稳定系统。当然,最后作者也分享了几个简单易操作的投资方法,找时间回测一下。
作者用一整本书的篇幅,各文化各流派旁征博引,应证了一句话“有失必有得”。奥地利学派应对黑天鹅,就是每月小输,相信自己经年累月攒人品,在非完全随机但也还是挺随机的市场里,总有一天有爆发人品的时刻。相对比世人追求Alpha的普遍心理状态下,作者也证明了他们总有一天“有得必有失”。
….所以一句话就是不要short vol?不要QE?
有意思,道家思想 和 奥派经济学?是2013年的书,估计国内也不会翻译了。 作者还是塔勒布的朋友。 好像作者是位很牛x的对冲基金经理,利用股市危机赚了大钱。 不过,对中国文化,和所谓的太极拳是不是过于神化了? 他年轻时接触了《一课经济学》《人的行动》。 很杂,不但有老子,还有孙子和克劳塞维茨的《战争论》,围棋的势,力; 巴斯夏的《看得见和看不见的》,门格尔,庞巴维克的2本著作,黄石公园的火灾,维纳的控制论, 哎,不容易读,本身奥派经济学就有许多专用的词汇 晦涩难懂脱离现代语境。。。。。 最后2章介绍的 MS 指数是托宾Q值吗? case:寻找高roic 和低的Faustmann ratio? 奥派投资其实也类似于价值投资,格雷厄姆的低pb pe法, 西格弗里德 投资组合?;最后是苏芬战争。
A little bit roundabout(repetitive)
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