The Most Important Thing - Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing

Howard Marks

出版时间

2011-05-01

ISBN

9780231153683

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍
"This is that rarity, a useful book."--Warren Buffett Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. Now for the first time, all readers can benefit from Marks's wisdom, concentrated into a single volume that speaks to both the amateur and seasoned investor. Informed by a lifetime of experience and study, The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career. Utilizing passages from his memos to illustrate his ideas, Marks teaches by example, detailing the development of an investment philosophy that fully acknowledges the complexities of investing and the perils of the financial world. Brilliantly applying insight to today's volatile markets, Marks offers a volume that is part memoir, part creed, with a number of broad takeaways. Marks expounds on such concepts as "second-level thinking," the price/value relationship, patient opportunism, and defensive investing. Frankly and honestly assessing his own decisions--and occasional missteps--he provides valuable lessons for critical thinking, risk assessment, and investment strategy. Encouraging investors to be "contrarian," Marks wisely judges market cycles and achieves returns through aggressive yet measured action. Which element is the most essential? Successful investing requires thoughtful attention to many separate aspects, and each of Marks's subjects proves to be the most important thing.
AI导读
核心看点
  • 巴菲特盛赞,揭示投资成功的关键在于风险控制与第二层思维。
  • 强调避免重大错误比追求伟大成功更重要,警惕市场非理性。
  • 教导投资者耐心等待廉价机会,在恐惧中买入,在狂热中卖出。
适合谁读
  • 希望建立稳健投资框架,避免情绪化决策的初学者与进阶者。
  • 对价值投资、周期理论及风险管理感兴趣的金融从业者。
  • 寻求提升独立思考能力,希望重塑认知视角的终身学习者。
读前提醒
  • 本书非速成致富指南,需耐心阅读以理解其深层逻辑与哲学。
  • 重点理解‘第二层思维’与‘风险’章节,结合市场周期思考。
  • 建议结合当下市场环境阅读,体会作者对周期与价格的洞察。
读者共识
  • 重塑投资世界观,强调独立思考与情绪控制的重要性。
  • 内容深刻且实用,虽部分观点重复,但核心智慧极具启发性。
  • 不仅适用于投资,其思维方式对人生决策与商业判断亦有裨益。

本导读基于书籍简介、目录、原文摘录、短评和书评生成,不等同于全文精读。

精彩摘录
  • "格雷厄姆给出的答案非常精辟:“要想在证券市场上取得投资成功,第一要正确思考,第二要独立思考。” 巴菲特强调投资成功必须将用脑和用心相结合:“要想在一生中获得投资的成功,并不需要顶级的智商、超凡的商业头脑或秘密的信息,而是需要一个稳妥的思考框架作为决策的基础,并且有能力控制自己的情绪,使其不会对这种思考框架造成侵蚀。格雷厄姆的书能够准确和清晰地提供这种思考框架,但对情绪的约束是你自己必须做到的。” 霍华德·马克斯说得更加直白:“记住,你的投资目标不是达到平均水平;你想要的是超越平均水平。因此,你的思维必须比别人更好——更强有力、水平更高。其他投资者也许非常聪明、消息灵通并且高度计算机化,因此你必"
  • "投资者几乎无须做对什么事,他只需能够避免犯重大错误。 设法避免损失比争取伟大的成功更加重要。 成功的投资不应过分依赖聚集分布的正常结果,而是必须考虑到离群值的存在。 某件事不可能发生的假设具有推动事件发生的潜力。 避免错误关键的第一步是保持警惕。 杠杆会放大收益,但不会增加价值。 做好应对低迷的心理准备,卖出风险更高的资产,减少杠杆,筹集现金,加强投资组合的防御性。 投资错误的定义:价格偏离内在价值。 现在需要的是谨慎。 不需要取巧的时候,自作聪明就会带来潜在错误。"
  • "我喜欢说:“在你得不到你想要的东西时,你得到的是经验,好光景只会带来坏经验,投资很容易,你已经了解投资的秘密,你不必担心风险。最有价值的经验是在困难时期学到的。”"
  • "现实比俄罗斯转盘残酷多了。首先,现实很少射出致命的子弹。就像一把枪膛里可以装下几百发甚至上千发而不只是 6 发子弹的左轮手枪,试过几十次之后,人们便忘记了子弹的存在,误以为自己很安全……其次,俄罗斯转盘这类游戏的规则非常明确,只要会 6 的乘除法的人都能看到风险,但人们却看不到现实生活举起的枪管……于是人们不知不觉中就玩起了俄罗斯转盘——不过以『低风险』的名字称呼它而已。"
  • "我只在足够廉价时买进。 我们的目标不在于“买好的”,而在于“卖得好”。因此,关键不在于你买什么,而在于你用多少钱买。"
  • "1、基本面存在缺陷。(需要深入分析原因) 2、有效市场设定公平价格的过程需要相关人员善于分析,保持客观,便宜贷通常是在非理性或片面理解的基础上形成的。因此,便宜贷往往产生于投资者不能保持客观的态度对待资产,没有透过表象全面了解资产,或未能克服某些不以价值为基础的传统、偏见或束缚的时候。 3、被大众忽视或鄙视。热度极低,价格不断下跌。"
  • "如果提炼成一句话,我会说:便宜货存在的必要条件是感觉必须远不如现实。也就是说,最好的机会通常是在大多数人不愿做的事情中发掘出来的。"
  • "耐心等待机会——等待便宜货——往往是最好的策略。 等待投资机会到来而不是追逐投资机会,你会做得更好。在卖家积极卖出的东西中挑选,而不是固守想要什么才买什么的观念,你的交易往往会更为划算。"
作者简介
Librarian Note: There is more than one author in the Goodreads database with this name. If adding books to this author, please use Howard^^Marks. Howard Stanley Marks is an American investor and writer. He holds a B.S.Ec. degree cum laude from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania with a major in finance and an M.B.A. in accounting and marketing from the Booth School of Business of the University of Chicago, where he received the George Hay Brown Prize. He is a CFA® charterholder and a Chartered Investment Counselor. In 1995, he co-founded Oaktree Capital Management. From 1985 until 1995, he led the groups at The TCW Group, Inc. that were responsible for investments in distressed debt, high yield bonds, and convertible securities. He was also Chief Investment Officer for Domestic Fixed Income at TCW. Previously, he was with Citicorp Investment Management for 16 years, where from 1978 to 1985 he was Vice President and senior portfolio manager in charge of convertible and high yield securities. Between 1969 and 1978, he was an equity research analyst and, subsequently, Citicorp's Director of Research.
用户评论
不负盛名
kindle第11本。可以当手册用,随时翻翻,哈哈
他们这波价值投资者,是有自己的投资哲学的,但是不够深,当然,能够很好地执行那个哲学,一定是可以在投资中盈利的。我的意思也不是说哲学思辨越深刻,利润率就越高。
the most imoortant thing is low price
The Most Important Thing Is Pulling It All Together
老爸强推的。重塑了我的思考方式和看待市场的角度。反观自己2年来进入股市,犯下了不少错误。经历了这些错误,反而更能理解书里的逻辑。准备时不时拿出来重读一下!读完这书的时间点也很微妙—— 美股狂跌😭
So Illuminating as how the names indicates!
必读书目
notes拼凑之作略浅显
Second Level Thinking
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